I AM BECOMING MORE AND MORE APPREHENSIVE ABOUT THE FUTURE OF DARWIN
With each passing day, I feel more and more that war in our region is just over the horizon. The lead editorial in “The Australian” (Xi puts regional peace in Xi dire straits over Taiwan” 8/8/22) points toward a catastrophic situation happening within the next 18 months. “It is almost certain … that the Xi communist dictatorship has advanced its timeline for reunification from perhaps later this decade to maybe as little as 18 months.”
I can sense that within a very short period of time after the conflict starts between China and Taiwan, America will come in on the side of Taiwan. That maybe just with weapons support, but more probably with air and sea engagement on behalf of Taiwan. Australia will dutifully move with America, and could well attract retaliation. First it will be by economic embargo and then physical response in the form of missile, rocket and drone retaliation. For Darwin and Cairns, it could be a case of revisitation to the second world war takeout of these cities of the north, during those months in 1942 by Japan.
I may be accused of pessimistic imagination, but my concerns are real. It is not hard to imagine our northern cities and towns, thousands of kilometres closer to China than our southern counterparts, being decimated as China pressures the Australian government to demur from the threat of even more drastic action by the Land of the Panda.
Regardless of pros and cons, there is a certain irony about what is likely to transpire in nearing future: Taiwan, under the ‘One China Policy’ is not recognised by either America or Australia, nor for that matter by very many countries and governments. In the broadest sense, if China takes physical action against Taiwan, under the terms of the policy of recognition, the action would be tantamount to civil war.
Those close to the heart of action within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) refer to Taiwan as the “Treasure Island of our Motherland”. It will not be long before they CCP goes all out for what’s they define as reunification through a process which, more and more likely, will engulf Australia.
As Australians, we will certainly be involved in any response to western action from China. As Northern Territorians we will be more vulnerable to retaliation than our southern counterparts. We have every reason to be concerned about the unfolding months ahead.
Darwin is becoming a defence city with a build-up of resources and personnel. Indeed, an attractive target if things go belly up and war comes calling
I understand your concern, but I feel optimistic that a world war can be avoided. Diplomacy and dialogue are powerful tools, and nations are increasingly aware of the catastrophic consequences of large-scale conflict. While tensions may rise, I believe the focus will remain on negotiation and peaceful resolutions rather than escalating to a global war. Let’s hope for collective wisdom to prevail and maintain peace.
I share your wish but don’t have your optimism.
👏