I am concerned that we are going to confront a major COVID-19 outbreak, the like of which we have not yet seen. A lack of long term thinking about continuing control measures is a major worry.
There are a number of key issues leading toward this conclusion.
* Quarantine fatigue is breaking the resistance of people to countering COVID-19.
* People are breaching physical distancing rules. It has been proven unequivocally that distancing (along with hand cleanliness) are the best deterents in containing COVID-19 but they have to be long term behaviours.
* Crowds flocking to pubs, clubs, beaches, rallies, parks, cinemas and elsewhere is causing people to overlook physical distancing advice.
* The optionality of testing for those in quarantine and lock down areas will mean more cases occurring because of test avoidance.
*Foolish statements about safety of airline travel (compared to bus, train and ferry travel restrictions) guarantees a spread of the virus among airline travellers and their contacts.
* The continuing return of overseas travellers into quarantine situations is bringing an unrelenting number of infections into Australia.
* The number of cases in schools, businesses and elsewhere will spike: Victoria’s revisitation to COVID-19 is only the start and the virus is now starting to make inroads into NSW.
* It is highly likely that the opening of travel around Australia will generate dollars and bequeath us with COVID-19 cases.
* It can be forecast that when this virus makes inroads into remote communities (and there is a high chance of that happening), COVID-19 will take off in a major way.
*Thinking of the virus as short term is unfortunate. This affliction is going to be with us into the foreseeable future.
Am I worried? You bet I am.